What Blue Wave? Trump Rides The Current Of Increasing GOP Turnout

  • What Blue Wave? Trump Rides The Current Of Increasing GOP Turnout

What Blue Wave? Trump Rides The Current Of Increasing GOP Turnout

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If Democrats defy the odds to take the Senate this fall, Trump will have enormous difficulty getting new nominees through. Organizations opposed to Trump's agenda reported a surge in donations. "Predicting the success of any given candidate, and of women candidates in general, is hard to do because the political ground is shifting as we speak".

Across the board, the Republican turn out was higher in OH, though overall voter turnout was lower than typical primaries. Meanwhile, Brown himself is up for reelection this year and ran unopposed in the primary. But an unusually high number of men did, too.

The Center for American Women in Politics at Rutgers University, in partnership with the Barbara Lee Family Foundation, analyzed the results in relation to the makeup of the electorate in those districts. Stacey Williams is running without opposition to be the Republican nominee and will face the victor of the May 22 Democratic Party primary in the general election in November.

The overwhelming majority of female candidates (71%) were Democrats, as has been the case for almost two decades. Trump won OH, but nothing like his margins in IN and West Virginia.

Three Democrats have filed in that race: Steven X. Davis, of Lawrence; Lori Hutfles, also of Lawrence; and Aidan Loveland Koster, of Lecompton. Braun said Trump "paved the way" for a candidate who has spent most of his career in business.

"Thanks to voter enthusiasm and a robust ground and data operation already in place from the RNC and the Ohio Republican Party, we are in a prime position to help our nominees win", Republican National Committee Spokeswoman Ellie Hockenbury said in an emailed statement.

With only one exception, every incumbent who sought re-election won the primary.

That's at least one reason why the state legislature agreed to start using the Top-Two approach in 2011. The victor will be decided during the primary and the race won't be on the ballot in November.

-Jenkins, who has served two terms as the 3rd Congressional district representative in the U.S. House before this year's run for a Senate seat, earned victories in most of those southern counties that comprised his 3rd district. Race moves from Solid Republican to Likely Republican.

National Republicans and Democrats waded into the West Virginia Senate primary, and they found that interventions can be effective. But women will be 1 in 3 House candidates on the general ballot.

Dittmar is getting at one important dynamic underlying the "wave of women" who are running for office this year: Democratic women are driving it far more than Republican women. But all five are solid GOP territory.

Mr. Morrisey will challenge incumbent Democratic Sen.

The city, home to manufacturing jobs and the recreational vehicle industry, was also paid a visit by President Barack Obama in 2009 when the region was suffering from unemployment rates surpassing 19 per cent. Obama returned to Elkhart in 2016 to point to economic progress, but Trump carried the county and much of the region overwhelmingly that year.

The GOP considers Donnelly to be one of the most vulnerable Democratic senators up for election in November.

In Ohio, Democrats nominated women in 10 of the 16 districts. Mike Pence previously represented the district in Congress. Meanwhile, in the nine solidly Republican districts, no women even ran in the GOP primary.

"The voters were signed on to something that said this is a simple amendment, and it's not - it's a wholesale change", CPMC spokesman Dave Doyle told TPM. And I don't want to suggest that women shouldn't throw their hats into the ring even when they face very long odds. But she's also had a breakthrough with female donors, drawing on women for more than 62 percent of the money she raised past year, according to the center's analysis.

But I also don't want to set unrealistic expectations.

KELLY: How did women do in those states?